The development of conflict in the Middle East has a significant impact on the global economy. Prolonged tensions in the region often stem from complex social, political and economic issues. One of the main factors is oil production. The Middle East is the world’s largest oil producer, and disruptions in energy supplies could cause oil price spikes affecting many countries around the world. Conflicts such as the Syrian Civil War and tensions between Iran and Saudi Arabia have caused instability, pushing oil prices up, which has a direct impact on inflation in energy consuming countries. Controlling oil prices in global markets creates a domino effect in various sectors, including transportation, manufacturing, and even everyday consumers. Issues related to security also play an important role. Terrorism and radicalization, which often arise from social discontent, magnify insecurity, which undermines foreign investment. Many investors are wary of investing in countries involved in conflict, resulting in lost economic opportunities and innovation. For example, many multinational companies limit operations or withdraw investment from conflict areas, slowing economic growth in those countries. Furthermore, the impact of refugees from conflict can penetrate the economies of neighboring countries. Lebanon, Jordan and Türkiye, host countries to millions of Syrian refugees, have faced enormous pressure on their infrastructure and public services. With an increase in population, demand for goods and services increases, but many of these countries do not have sufficient resources to meet these needs. Apart from that, conflict also has an impact on global trade policy. Tensions between countries such as the US and Iran can affect trade agreements, thereby adding to the uncertainty that impacts the global economy. Policy changes, such as economic sanctions imposed on Iran, have ripple effects in the international economy, damaging trade relations and increasing operational costs. The answer to this growing conflict involves not only a military approach, but also diplomacy and economic development. Efforts to rebuild stability through infrastructure development and social enterprise are critical to reducing tensions and promoting economic growth. Inclusive development programs can help reduce the anger that often drives conflict. It is important to observe the influence of conflicts in the Middle East on global economic trends. In the long term, stability in the region will be key to achieving sustainable growth. Addressing the root causes of conflict, including social and economic injustice, is critical to creating an environment conducive to peace and economic prosperity throughout the world.
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